Friday, January 22, 2010

Super Bowl Picks: NFC Champion

Sunday will feature one of the best pairs of football games in a long time: a group of battle-tested veterans against this year's Cinderella story, a tremendously balanced and dominant club against an offensive juggernaut carrying the hopes of a city and a franchise on its shoulders.

NFC: Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints

Both of these teams are in relatively new territory. The Vikings have struggled for the better part of the decade after being knocked out of contention in 1998, when they were heavy favorites to win the Super Bowl. Despite lacking all of the top-shelf offensive talent they had that year (namely two shoe-in Hall of Fame receivers in Cris Carter and Randy Moss), Brett Favre has managed to make Sidney Rice and Visanthe Shiancoe into Pro Bowl players. The superb defensive line, anchored by pass rusher Jared Allen and run stuffers Pat and Kevin Williams (not to mention Ray Edwards, who had three sacks last week against Dallas before leaving the game with an injured knee), has been performing admirably in shutting down opposing offenses, giving help to a depleted by respondent secondary that is only featuring star corner Antoine Winfield as the nickel back. Minnesota seems to have just the right blend of firepower and defensive stoutness to win it all.

But for all the pressure on the Men in Purple, they are not in the same territory as their opponents. The New Orleans Saints, who have been one of the lone bright spots for the past four years in a city one devastated by Hurricane Katrina, managed to make the NFC Championship once before in 2006, when they had to travel to a frozen Soldier field and face a powerful Bears defensive unit. But now the Saints are in a position they have never been in before: they have home field advantage in an NFC Championship game, and their team has all the talent needed to win it all. Everyone knows about Drew Brees and his plethora of receivers, who have been struggling to win games singlehandedly over the first years of coach Sean Payton's tenure. This year, however, with the additions of defensive coordinator Gregg Williams and safety Darren Sharper (who signed with New Orleans as a free agent from Minnesota), the Saints defense has made play after play despite letting up occasional big scores.

The recipe for a Super Bowl victory is there for both clubs, but only one can advance. This may well be one of the best matchups of the year, as both the Vikings and the Saints have tremendous balance. But Brett Favre's magic won't be enough to save Minnesota, and neither will their defense, which has yet to face a challenge as seemingly insurmountable as the Saints offense. That being said, New Orleans has to remember that this defense is not the Arizona Cardinals, so the chances of Reggie Bush (or any Saints back, for that matter) finding open gaps will be significantly reduced. In what I think will be the better of the two games on Sunday, I pick the Saints to win, 28-14.

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